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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-08-05T19:39Z

Model Inputs:
2024-08-04T23:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-54.0, Lat.=-13.0, Speed=323.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2024-08-05T09:29Z
2024-08-05T03:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-53.0, Lat.=-9.0, Speed=320.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-08-05T14:02Z
2024-08-05T05:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-60.0, Lat.=-12.0, Speed=316.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2024-08-05T16:13Z
2024-08-05T16:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-55.0, Lat.=-9.0, Speed=614.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-08-05T21:30Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-08-08T16:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-09T10:01Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-07T17:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240805_092900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-08-05T19:42Z by Mattie Anastopulos

A Notification with ID 20240805-AL-011 was sent on 2024-08-05T19:57Z

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